Oklahoma Storm Watch

2:25 PM CDT - An agitated cumulus field is noted in far Southwest Oklahoma this afternoon. You can see it on the following graphic. Greater instability is now pushing into the state and will continue to increase over the next several hours. 12:30 PM CDT -  The Storm Prediction Center has an Enhanced Risk for Severe Weather across much of the state, surrounded by a Slight Risk and Marginal Risk. There is a risk of Strong Tornadoes. This should not come as a surprise if you have been following the blog. It appears that the dryline will mix as far east as Weatherford or Hydro by 5:00 PM before stalling and retreating westward. I anticipate at least isolated supercells forming near/east of the dryline between 3:00 and 5:00 PM. Once rooted at the surface, rapid intensification will occur in a very unstable and strong shear environment. Very Large Hail to the size of Baseballs, Damaging Winds, and a few Tornadoes will be possible. Make sure you have a way to receive the latest watch and...