Late Evening Update On Saturday's Increasing Severe Risk

11:45 PM CDT | March 28, 2025 - Updated to include a map illustrating my thoughts. See earlier discussion below for more information.




10:45 PM CDT | March 28, 2025 - Severe Risk appears to be increasing for cities like Watonga, Kingfisher, Weatherford, El Reno, Anadarko, Chickasha, and even OKC Saturday evening. The dryline is unlikely to make much eastward progress during the afternoon, and it will retreat westward with the loss of daytime heating. With the approach of a mid-level disturbance around sunset, the capping inversion should weaken for at least a couple supercells along and south of I-40. Greatest storm chances will still be across Northern Oklahoma; however, I fully anticipate an upgrade to a Slight Risk for areas farther S/SW. Large Hail to the size of Golf Balls, Damaging Winds and isolated Tornadoes will be possible.

I will hopefully have my own graphic posted around 11:30 pm illustrating my above thoughts. Stay tuned.




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