2024/07/06 - Severe Weather Expected In Oklahoma On Sunday

8:45 PM CDT | July 6, 2024 - Tomorrow will be an interesting weather day for the Sooner State. We will see an unusually strong disturbance for this time of year. Right now, a cluster or MCS (Meso-Convective System) is taking shape north of the border. This will push southeast through tomorrow morning with the best storm chances to the north of I-40. The current thinking is that the complex of storms will leave an outflow boundary in the state. With ample surface heating during the midday and afternoon hours, the environment along the boundary will be quite favorable for Severe Weather. It is unusual to see a risk for Supercells this time of year so far south... but that is what we will indeed see tomorrow. This is a loop from one of this evening's weather models. It shows the simulated radar from 10:00 PM tonight through 10:00 PM tomorrow night.


Keep in mind that this is simply a weather model, and the exact radar conditions will not look exactly like this... It gives you an idea though.

A Slight Risk is currently in place for a good portion of the state with a low Tornado Risk across Western Oklahoma. I would not be surprised at all to see an Enhanced Risk of Damaging Winds across parts of the state in later outlooks. The Tornado probabilities may also be increased from 2% to 5% near the outflow boundary, once its afternoon location is determined. Not everyone will see Severe Weather, but it will be important to keep an eye on the latest watches and warnings.



On a side note, the radars have been pulsing across Oklahoma and Kansas heavily over the last 24 hours. It looks as though they are charging the atmosphere ahead of this activity through ionization. In regards to chemtrails, there have been some here to the west of OKC. It will be interesting to see what 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

2024/06/03 - LIVE BLOG: Severe Weather Risk Into The Overnight Hours

Image
10:30 PM CDT UPDATE - Strong Storm development appears to be underway along the I-40 corridor, to the west of OKC. Activity is tracking toward the east right now, but as updrafts mature, they will track more toward the southeast while expanding. Again, Quarter to Baseball-size Hail will be possible with the most intense storms overnight with a secondary risk for Damaging Winds. A conditional risk for Severe Weather will exist tomorrow for parts of the state. More on that in the morning. Good night and stay safe, everyone. 8:55 PM CDT UPDATE - There were a few Severe Thunderstorms in the Texas Panhandle and one strong storm this afternoon in Northwest Oklahoma. They have since dissipated. There appears to be a weak capping inversion located above the surface. Despite the largely favorable environment, the significant severe potential has not been realized. The SPC has maintained a Slight Risk for Central and Southern/Southeast Oklahoma tonight. The primary risk will be Quarter to Baseba...
Read more

2024/06/04 - LIVE BLOG: Significant Hail & Wind Likely In Oklahoma Through Tonight

Image
8:40 PM CDT UPDATE - Incredible cluster of supercells south of I-40 are producing Large Hail and Damaging Winds. There are a few areas of rotation that I am watching, especially near Anadarko.  This is a look from where I am, well to the north... Amazing. 5:05 PM CDT UPDATE - The NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for a good portion of Oklahoma. It is in effect until midnight CDT.   4:25 PM CDT UPDATE - Convergence is increasing near the triple point late this afternoon. You can see the agitated cumulus field near Clinton on satellite. The area I have highlighted is where development is likely to occur between 5:00 and 6:00 PM. Surface instability is phenomenal right now across parts of the state. The latest mesoanalysis shows over 7,000 j/kg of SBCAPE near Chickasha. The environment is a powder keg and will be very supportive of Severe Weather near and east of the triple point. The marginal shear will be offset by the presence of such extreme i...
Read more

LIVE WEATHER BLOG - Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Image
 LIVE BLOG 3:10 PM CDT UPDATE - An area of agitated cumulus clouds is noted on satellite along the frontal boundary. Development will become increasingly likely over the next 1-2 hours along this boundary as well as near the surface to the northeast of the highlighted area. The SPC upgraded parts of Central Oklahoma to a Slight Risk with their 11:30 AM update and maintained it with their 3:00 PM update. The forecast seems to be on track... Archived Videos
Read more