2024/05/22 - Severe Weather Again Tomorrow & Especially Saturday

 10:50 PM CDT | May 22, 2024 - The deep moisture that is in Texas will lift northward in response to an approaching trough. Dew points in the 70*F's will reach the I-40 corridor around midday on Thursday. The environment across Oklahoma tomorrow afternoon and evening will be supportive of supercells capable of Quarter to Baseball-size Hail, Damaging Winds, and a few Tornadoes. The uncertainty and possible fly in the ointment for a localized outbreak is a disturbance expected to move through Texas. This will trigger showers and storms as early 11:00 AM or 12:00 PM south of the Red River. This activity could create an area of subsidence to the north that would suppress our storm chances tomorrow afternoon. Unfortunately, we will not know until things start to unfold. Worth noting is that, yet again, I did not see any chemtrails in the sky today to the west of OKC.

My prediction for the next outlook is that they will upgrade parts of the state to a Hail-driven 30% Enhanced Risk, most likely areas along/west of US 281. They may also add a 10% Tornado Risk for part of the state, while maintaining the 5% for most areas. We shall see...


In regards to Saturday, I believe it has the makings of an Enhanced or Moderate Risk day. They did expand the Slight Risk significantly toward the west, which is what I had anticipated in the last discussion. You will need to stay weather-aware tomorrow and particularly Saturday. The forecast environment on Saturday would suggest that a couple Strong Tornadoes are a possibility. Stay tuned.



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