2024/05/05 - Moderate Risk Issued For Tomorrow's Outbreak

10:40 AM CDT | May 5, 2024 - The SPC upgraded a portion of Oklahoma to a Moderate Risk for tomorrow. I fully agree with the upgrade. I anticipate a bad day across the Plains with a few Strong Tornadoes likely. The latest trend has been for a slightly faster system. I would not be surprised to see the greatest probabilities shifted eastward by 30-40 miles. This would place greater emphasis on Central Oklahoma.

I do not have time to draw up my own outlook this morning, but I will tonight. I will probably do a series of graphics to show what I anticipate in regards to the timeline. Storm initiation may be as early as 3:00 pm tomorrow.
I would not be surprised if Oklahoma does not see its first High Risk day this decade. The last High Risk issued for any part of Oklahoma was on May 20, 2019. We shall see.

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